The cone contains the probable path of the storm but does not show the size of the storm. Hazardous conditions can occur outside the cone.

Accuracy is uneven and depends heavily on the history a given model was trained on. Some AI models track storms well but forecast intensity poorly, or the reverse. They recognize patterns from the past, so they struggle with storms unlike anything in their training data.

New for NOAA in 2026: smaller, more accurate forecast cones and an experimental cone that shows the true range of track uncertainty. A must-have on any list.

Hurricane Helene's aftermath presents a clear case study of why capital projects can stall before money, permits, and regulatory clarity are aligned.

There have only been two hurricane seasons in the past 125 years that have been as quiet as this one.

The insights were based on the most interesting people and topics we encountered in our travels in 2024.

The devastation of Hurricane Helene will impact multiple generations in western North Carolina.

Surf fishing on the South Carolina coast is a much different experience in 2023 than in 2022. The difference provides some valuable...

Hurricanes making a second landfall on the US east coast occur every twenty years. It has been twenty years since the last one. I was...

Understanding your risks relative to an uncertain future usually involves some type of model.