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Risk and Uncertainty: Understanding Small Worlds, Large Worlds
Context matters. Effective decision making depends on knowing when we’ve moved beyond the comfort of small worlds and into the uncertainty of larger ones.

JD Solomon
Jan 8


How to Use Empathy with the FINESSE Fishbone Diagram
Empathy is the first E in the FINESSE Fishbone Diagram®. It is the starting point for every effective communication effort involving complexity and uncertainty.

JD Solomon
Jan 2


We Describe Environmental Risk in Ways That Don’t Match How People Think
The FINESSE framework emphasizes clarity, transparency, and trust. Applied to environmental risk, it pushes us to do a handful of things exceptionally well.

JD Solomon
Dec 23, 2025


5 Things to Remember When Facilitating an Uncertain Future
Developing useful predictions requires facilitators and participants to understand a handful of key concepts related to predictions, probability, and risks.

JD Solomon
Aug 19, 2025


Getting it Right! Using Statistical Process Control in Environmental Root Cause Analysis
The seven rules of SPC provide a structured approach to monitoring and controlling processes, ensuring deviations are correctly identified.

JD Solomon
Jul 1, 2024


Three Big Environmental Takeaways from East Palestine
There are many environmental lessons learned from East Palestine. The events that occurred there are the greatest environmental...

JD Solomon
Feb 5, 2024


What Hurricanes and Fishing Teach Us About Risk and Project Development
Surf fishing on the South Carolina coast is a much different experience in 2023 than in 2022. The difference provides some valuable...

JD Solomon
Oct 9, 2023


Applying ISO 31000 to PFAS and USEPA Risk Assessments
PFAS is an issue filled with complexity, difficulty, and uncertainty. The good news is that the USEPA does a good job with technical...

JD Solomon
Jan 31, 2023


How to Overcome the Fear of Using the Wrong Probability Distribution
Probability Distributions The probability density function (PDF) is applied to continuous random variables, whereas the probability...

JD Solomon
Oct 11, 2022


Trust Proven Approaches to Produce the Best Facilitated Sessions
The stakes are high. The problem is difficult. We search for the facilitation approach that rises to the level of the problem. Not so...

JD Solomon
Oct 4, 2022


Three Solutions for Establishing Useful Probability Distributions
Monte Carlo simulations are the best approach for assessing uncertainty for future infrastructure and facilities funding requirements....

JD Solomon
Sep 26, 2022


Why Are You Wasting Infrastructure Money By Not Using Monte Carlo Analysis?
If you are not using Monte Carlo simulations to inform your asset management decision making, then it is nearly certain that you are leaving value on the table. Understanding the total cost of ownership is a fundamental principle of asset management of facilities and infrastructure. However, all of our knowledge is about the past. All of our decisions are about the future. Monte Carlo analysis is our best tool for bridging our knowledge of the past with future uncertainties.

JD Solomon
Sep 19, 2022


Why I Will Never See an Ensemble Model on an Asset Management Project
Hurricane tracking is very good these days, especially in forecasting storm intensity and location two to seven days in advance....

JD Solomon
Sep 13, 2022


What the New USEPA Health Advisory Levels for PFAS Means to You
On June 15, 2022, US EPA reduced the current Health Advisory Levels (HALs) of 70 parts per trillion for PFOA and PFOS (combined) to 0.004...

JD Solomon
Jul 11, 2022


Five Ways to More Effectively Facilitate Tree Diagrams
This article discusses five ways to effectively facilitate tree diagrams by conducting pre-session exchanges, asking powerful questions,...

JD Solomon
Mar 21, 2022


Do You Share the Same Concerns about the American Rescue Plan Act as Water Utility Leaders?
The American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) is now in full swing as states start to divide the monies to their units of local government. Two...

JD Solomon
Mar 4, 2022


Hazardous Algal Blooms (HABs) Are Coming on March 23
JD Solomon will be facilitating the Lightning Talk on "Understanding Changes in North Carolina’s Bay Lakes Over Time: Lake Waccamaw...

News
Feb 24, 2022


Communicating with FINESSE: Getting the Boss’s Boss to Understand
The critical issue is a technical professional's inability to communicate to decision makers in the face of complexity and uncertainty. ...

JD Solomon
Dec 16, 2021


Tips For Including Rare Event Risks Into New Project Development
The important thing is to formally incorporate rare events into your project planning because we handle the normal stuff well. Rare events make or break major projects.

JD Solomon
Nov 15, 2021


Drinking Treated Wastewater Is Still A Few Years Away
Drinking treated wastewater is still a few years away because there is not enough demand for it. The technology exists that makes it...

JD Solomon
Nov 11, 2021
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