While major hurricanes are muted during El Niño, Category 1 and 2 storms still strike the Carolinas regularly and form the base rate. They cause damage, but they do not meet the rarity threshold.

Danger is real, but risk is socially constructed. Rare events expose how psychology, perception, and power shape environmental risk far more than technical models alone.

The devastation of Hurricane Helene will impact multiple generations in western North Carolina.

Surf fishing on the South Carolina coast is a much different experience in 2023 than in 2022. The difference provides some valuable...

Hurricanes making a second landfall on the US east coast occur every twenty years. It has been twenty years since the last one. I was...

South Carolina appears in many evaluations as one of the top ten states that are susceptible to climate change. One climate change source cites, “When it comes to extreme weather, South Carolina is among the states that get hit hardest. It averages about 26 tornadoes per year and is regularly in the path of hurricanes along the Atlantic coast. Heat and coastal flooding are also issues.” Well, according to most local weather experts, tornados are not that big of an issue. Trop

Planning prior to a high-consequence, low-probability event is crucially important. A balanced approach to analytics, narratives and public perceptions is needed for effective communication in the planning stage. All bets are off once the rare event happens.

The nature of rare events makes them unexpectedly and disproportionately impactful. Rare events can usually be identified within the seven categories of crisis: economic, informational, physical (key plants and facilities), human resources, reputational, psychopathic acts, and natural disasters.

Rare events produce the greatest risk to facility and infrastructure projects. Traditional risks, often called project risks, are...

Understanding your risks relative to an uncertain future usually involves some type of model.