The Top 6 Hurricane Tracking Websites of 2025

September continues to be a good month for surf fishing and a lack of tropical storms. For October, who knows? These are the Top 6 hurricane tracking websites for 2025.

Hurricane season is upon us in the US Southeast. Once again, you’ll need the best sources of information to tell you when it’s time to batten down the hatches or get ready to be on the move. This year, I have also included insights on emergency flood models, seasonal forecasting, and ocean temperature trends. These are my Top 6 sources for predicting and tracking hurricanes in 2025.

#1 NOAA National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Still the most authoritative source for real-time data, forecasts, and advisories. It’s a must-have on any list.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

#2 Tropical Tidbits

Levi Cowan continues offering excellent insights, making this site a favorite among weather enthusiasts and professionals.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/

#3 Mike’s Weather Page (Spaghetti Models)

This page remains a valuable resource, especially with its aggregation of multiple models and easy-to-digest updates.

Mike’s Weather Page… powered by Firman Power Equipment! (spaghettimodels.com)

#4 Track the Tropics

The site is a comprehensive resource with quick access to various models and data.

http://trackthetropics.com/

#5 Weather Underground

Although it has undergone some changes over the years, it remains a strong source of localized weather data.

https://www.wunderground.com/

#6 The Eyewall

Mostly a commentary and interpretive blog by meteorologists. It's good for digestible summaries of "what to expect" and "what it means to me."

https://theeyewall.com/?utm_source=chatgpt.com

Emergency Response

North Carolina has a great publicly available site called FIMAN (Flood Inundation Mapping and Alert Network) for travel needs. FIMAN displays current and forecasted water levels from hundreds of locations throughout North Carolina’s streams and coasts, helping residents and travelers make informed decisions during flood events.

 https://fiman.nc.gov/

Some southeast US states, including state departments of transportation (DOTs) and emergency management systems, have developed similar tools in recent years. If you are traveling after a major weather event, find your local sites.

Seasonal Forecasting

WeatherTiger

WeatherTiger is boldly reimagining seasonal forecasting and agricultural meteorology through the use of proprietary technologies. It's on Substack and subscription-based. To date, I use it more as a reference and for weather insights, rather than for real-time tracking.

https://weathertiger.com/

Tropical Storm Risk (TSR)

Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) offers a leading resource for predicting and mapping tropical storm activity worldwide. TSR has won two major insurance industry awards: the British Insurance Awards for Risk Management (2006) and London Market Innovation (2004).

Useful early in the season or before storms form; less useful when a storm is active (for immediate decisions).

https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/?utm_source=chatgpt.com

Ocean Temperature Trends

University of Miami – Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science

The overarching focus of the Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science's Upper Ocean Dynamics Laboratory (UODL) is to develop, implement, and disseminate academic research on the coupling between the oceanic and atmospheric boundary layers under both weak and strong wind conditions.

https://upper-ocean-dynamics.earth.miami.edu/research/ocean-heat-content/index.html

https://bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/ohc/?os=vb_&ref=app

University of Maine - Climate Change Institute

Climate Reanalyzer began in early 2012 as a platform for visualizing climate and weather forecast models. Site content is organized into three general categories: Weather Forecasts, Climate Charts, and Research Tools.

https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/?dm_id=atlhmdr

The Top 6 Hurricane Prediction Websites

Hurricane season is upon us in the US Southeast. Once again, you’ll need the best sources of information to tell you when it’s time to batten down the hatches or get ready to be on the move. This year, I have also included insights on emergency flood models, seasonal forecasting, and ocean temperature trends. These are my Top 6 sources for predicting and tracking hurricanes in 2025. I hope these top websites are as helpful to you as they are to me.

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JD Solomon Inc. provides solutions for program development, asset management, and facilitation at the nexus of facilities, infrastructure, and the environment. Visit our Environmental page for more information.

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JD Solomon is the author of Communicating Reliability, Risk & Resiliency to Decision Makers: How to Get Your Boss’s Boss to Understand and Facilitating with FINESSE: A Guide to Successful Business Solutions.

How Understanding Win Probability (WP) in Baseball Helps Asset Management

Understanding the definition of probability is crucial for making informed decisions and communicating effectively in high-stakes situations.

Understanding the definition of probability is crucial for making informed decisions and communicating effectively in high-stakes situations. That's true whether it's baseball win percentage, the chance of rain, or activities related to the equipment and facilities you own. Understanding the underlying context behind the probabilities is crucial before applying them in practice.

Probability: The mathematical measure of the chance of occurrence expressed as a number between 0 and 1, where 0 is impossibility and 1 is absolute certainty.

Win Probability (WP) in Major League Baseball

Win Probability (WP) in Major League Baseball is a statistical estimate of the likelihood that a team will win the game at a given point. The calculation isn’t specific to the two teams playing that day. Instead, it’s based on historical league-wide data combined with the current game state.

Here’s How Win Probability Works

Win Probability models are built from decades of play-by-play data across all MLB teams. In the case of MLB.com, Statcast uses recent seasons' play-by-play data as the baseline.

“Recent seasons” are generally weighted toward the last 5 to 10 years, so the model reflects modern scoring environments (more home runs, fewer stolen bases, etc.). Other public models use the "modern era" as the historical timeline, while advanced private or betting models may adjust to use shorter time periods or different weightings.

MLB.com also treats all teams and pitchers as equal. Similar to “recent seasons,” private or betting models may adjust for do adjust for team quality, pitcher matchups, bullpen strength, and park factors.

For every possible game situation (inning, score differential, number of outs, runners on base, etc.), the model looks at how often the team in that situation went on to win.

Likelihood: the chance something will happen (synonym: probability)

The Likelihood of Rain

I often use the “chance of rain” in my communications workshops to show how the general population misunderstands probabilities. The punchline is that only one-third of participants understand the term.

For the weather, the “chance of rain” means how many days like this one it will rain. Like win percentage in baseball, it is essential to consider factors such as the length of the historical record and whether the forecast is specific to these teams (or for weather, this region).

The Likelihood of Failure

In asset management, the likelihood of failure is a crucial component of the classic risk equation used to prioritize activities. In those workshops, I often ask the questions "What is the likelihood that this piece of equipment fails?” and "If I had ten pieces of equipment just like this, how many would fail?” The two questions have the same meaning. However, the first will always yield a higher percentage than the second.

Like win probability in baseball, understanding the meaning behind the term probability means everything in how it is applied and communicated. That’s one reason teams should not quit when someone says their "probability of winning is low" in the middle of a game. The common misunderstanding of the term also helps sports bookies make a living.

Understanding Win Probability in Baseball & Asset Management

Understanding the definition of probability is crucial for making informed decisions and communicating effectively in high-stakes situations. That's true whether it's baseball win percentage, the chance of rain, or activities related to the equipment and facilities you own. Understanding the underlying context behind the probabilities is crucial before applying them in practice.

Please see Communicating Reliability, Risk & Resiliency to Decision Makers: How to Get Your Boss’s Boss to Understand for more information.

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Note: For another example related to health, see Stephen Jay Gould's essay "The Median Isn't the Message" (1985). After being diagnosed with abdominal mesothelioma, Gould dug into the published statistics that the median survival was eight months and showed why that didn’t dictate his personal fate. Context matters. Individual prognosis depends on variation and treatment context rather than the historical record of everyone who has had the disease.

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JD Solomon Inc. provides solutions for program development, asset management, and facilitation at the nexus of facilities, infrastructure, and the environment. Visit our Asset Management page for more information related to reliability, risk management, resilience, and other asset management services.

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JD Solomon is the founder of JD Solomon, Inc., the creator of the FINESSE fishbone diagram®, and the co-creator of the SOAP criticality method^©. He is the author of Communicating Reliability, Risk & Resiliency to Decision Makers: How to Get Your Boss’s Boss to Understand and Facilitating with FINESSE: A Guide to Successful Business Solutions.

Why Checking Accessibility for PowerPoint Headings is Good for All High-Stakes Presentations

Making Microsoft PowerPoint headings more accessible makes your slides more effective for the entire audience.

Headings in Microsoft PowerPoint provide the structure to guide business leaders and make your slides easier to follow. Accessible headings are essential for people with visual impairments. What’s more, your high-stakes presentation can quickly become confusing for the entire audience if headings are missing, duplicated, or poorly formatted.

Use PowerPoint’s Built-In Layouts

Avoid adding random text boxes for titles. Instead, use the title placeholders that come with each slide layout. Screen readers recognize these placeholders and ensure your slides are read in a clear, logical order.

Check Reading Order

What appears correctly on the screen may not be read accurately by assistive devices. In the “Arrange” or “Selection Pane” options, make sure the title appears first in the order. A simple adjustment here makes a big difference for accessibility.

Being Consistent with Fonts

Use a sans-serif font, such as Aptos, Arial, or Calibri, for all titles. Headings should be no smaller than 36 to 44-point fonts so they remain clear when projected or viewed on smaller devices.

Every Slide Needs a Unique Title

Even if multiple slides cover the same topic, slightly change the wording so users of screen readers can tell them apart. For example, instead of labeling several slides “Budget”, use “Budget – Revenues” and “Budget – Expenses.”

Accessible PowerPoint Headings for High-Stakes Presentations

By using placeholders, checking the reading order, keeping headings clear and consistent, and assigning a distinct title to each slide, you enhance accessibility. It’s not just about making your slides more accessible to the 10 to 25 percent of business leaders with visual impairments. Making Microsoft PowerPoint headings more accessible makes your slides more effective for the entire audience.

The FINESSE Accessibility Checklist

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